This paper explores the lessons that the unresolved Israel-Palestinian conflict can draw from South Africa's 'negotiated revolution'. Six realms are compared: economic interdependence, religious divisions, third-party intervention, leadership, political culture, and violence. Contrasting insights form two opposite solutions to a nationalist conflict and shed light on the nature of ethnicity as well as the limits of negotiation politics.
The Israel-South Africa analogy This paper explores the lessons that the unresolved Israel-Palestinian conflict can draw from South Africa's 'negotiated revolution'. Six realms are compared: economic interdependence, religious divisions, third-party intervention, leadership, political culture, and violence. Contrasting insights form two opposite solutions to a nationalist conflict and shed light on the nature of ethnicity and the limits of negotiation politics.
Executive Summary
Conceptual clarifications: The purpose of the Israel-South Africa analogy
The colonial analogy
The apartheid analogy
Strategic implications
The relevance of the Middle East for South Africa
Economic interdependence
Unifying versus divisive religion
Third party intervention
Embattled leadership in controversial compromises
The hardening and softening of political cultures
Violence, deterrence and the psychic energy of martyrdom
A route-map to peace-making: rescuing negotiations
Conclusion: visions of endgame
Islamic extremist positions
Jewish extremist positions
Two-state positions
A multicultural liberal democracy?
Notes
Map of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip
Map of South Africa pre-1994 showing provincial boundaries after 1994
Bibliography